TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
Participants can bet on which team will score the most points in the first quarter, with an additional option for a tie. The result hinges exclusively on first-quarter scoring, and tied scores result in a tie market resolution regardless of overall game outcome.
If Arizona wins the 1st Quarter of the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denver wins the 1st Quarter of the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the Denver vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional polls and analysts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public opinion shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving you insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first quarter of the Denver vs Arizona game will be declared the winner for the purpose of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome has been officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player injuries or changes in team strategy for either Denver or Arizona would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also impact the perceived probability of each team winning the first quarter. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, although the market tends to be more driven by informed traders. Any major developments leading up to the game could shift the odds and create trading opportunities.