TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Denver Summit FC and Racing Louisville FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Denver Summit FC" if Denver Summit FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Racing Louisville FC" if Racing Louisville FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Denver Summit FC and Racing Louisville FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Denver Summit FC" if Denver Summit FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Racing Louisville FC" if Racing Louisville FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may also adjust their lines more slowly than Polymarket as new information becomes available. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the true probability of either team scoring first. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Denver or Louisville will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Denver Summit FC versus Racing Louisville FC match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. The outcome will be clearly indicated on the market page once it’s finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Denver or Louisville would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to each other’s actions.