TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.3b

24H VOL:

$96,269,134

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,361,103,189

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,154,454,441

329,226

Markets across

32,675

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,717

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Time left: 10d:23h:53m

Denver Outlaws vs. California Redwoods

99%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
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Description

This event group pertains to the outcome of a Premier Lacrosse League (PLL) game between the Denver Outlaws and the California Redwoods, scheduled for August 29 at 6:00 PM ET. The resolution of the markets depends on the result of this specific game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental mismatch in underlying events — Kalshi resolves based on an unrelated Pro Football game, while Polymarket resolves based on the actual PLL game outcome.Hero tip: Trade Polymarket for the actual lacrosse game result. Kalshi market is misaligned with the stated 'Denver Outlaws vs. California Redwoods' event and should be treated as a cross-sport derivative, not a direct outcome market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Denver wins the Minnesota vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 OR if Minnesota wins that same game — note this is a football game, not the lacrosse match.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Denver Outlaws if they win the PLL game on Aug 29, California Redwoods if they win, 50-50 if canceled/tied without makeup, and remains open if postponed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming PLL game scheduled for August 29 at 6:00PM ET: If Denver Outlaws wins, the market will resolve to "Denver Outlaws". If California Redwoods wins, the market will resolve to "California Redwoods". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official winner of the Minnesota vs Denver professional football game scheduled for August 28, 2026. If either team wins, their respective market will resolve to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes under various scheduling scenarios.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Denver Outlaws vs. California Redwoods matchup aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time volume of $0 and 24-hour volume of $0. It provides a consensus view of market sentiment, highlighting how traders on different platforms price this market. The display updates continuously, allowing users to monitor shifts in expectations for the outcome of short_topic.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, often reflecting sharper or earlier shifts than traditional sportsbook lines. The gap can widen when prediction market participants incorporate niche data or anticipate line moves. For example, a 27.0 spread in sportsbooks may sit alongside a very different implied probability here, especially if Kalshi users are pricing in unique game dynamics or injury updates.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because each venue attracts distinct user bases and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, Polymarket currently favors Denver Outlaws vs. California Redwoods at 99.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Minnesota vs Denver Pro Football game: DEN Broncos wins? at 72.0%. Differences in trading volume, regional participation, and even platform design can amplify these variations, making each market a unique signal of crowd sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game record, matching the final score or winner as reported by authoritative sports databases and news outlets.