TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Denmark vs. North Macedonia
Volume:
$892,022
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Thursday, March 26, 2026 between Denmark and North Macedonia.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three separate markets that each resolve YES for any single outcome (Denmark win, Tie, or North Macedonia win), creating logical redundancy. Polymarket presents three independent binary markets (Draw YES/NO, Denmark WIN YES/NO, North Macedonia WIN YES/NO) with distinct resolution criteria and cancellation rules that differ between them.Hero Tip:
On Kalshi, you are betting on whether the match occurs and resolves to ANY outcome—all three markets will resolve YES if the game is played. On Polymarket, each market is independent: the Draw market resolves YES if tied (or if canceled), while the Denmark and North Macedonia markets resolve NO if canceled. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket outcomes will align in cancellation scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers three markets, each of which resolves YES for a single match outcome (Denmark win, Tie, or North Macedonia win). All three markets share identical resolution logic: 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Exactly one will resolve YES based on the final 90-minute result; the other two resolve NO by implication. No explicit cancellation clause is provided.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three independent binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules. The Draw market resolves YES if the game ends in a draw OR if canceled entirely with no make-up game. The Denmark and North Macedonia markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up game, but resolve YES/NO based on the 90-minute result if the game is played. Each market has its own resolution source (fifa.com) and 2-hour window for official statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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