TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Den Haag and Eindhoven will determine whether more than a certain number of goals are scored within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Den Haag vs Eindhoven Eredivisie game scheduled for October 17, 2026, counting only goals during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded. Each market has a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total meets or exceeds the threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on specific information, while this market aggregates the views of many traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of the event's outcome, as they benefit from diverse perspectives and continuous updating of information. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, also provides insights into the strength of conviction behind various predictions. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Den Haag vs Eindhoven match will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on official match data and statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and how their positions are settled on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official confirmation of the score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Den Haag or Eindhoven would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about the referee or stadium conditions might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.