TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points the Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers will score together in the third quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity during that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets share this core resolution mechanism, differing only in their respective point thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market evolves as individuals buy and sell contracts based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – that impacts expectations for the game. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing the total points will be above a certain threshold) or sell 'no' contracts (believing it will be below). The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the probability of different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting to reflect the latest information and collective sentiment of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the third quarter of the Broncos-49ers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official scoring data from the game will be used to determine whether the total points exceeded or fell short of the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Key player injuries to either team, particularly quarterbacks or key offensive players, would likely cause a shift in expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the scoring potential. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns, can influence the price of contracts in this market.