TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points the Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers score together in the second quarter of their game on October 4, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle as 'Yes'. Only points scored during the second quarter count.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold—ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points—which the combined second-quarter score must exceed for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the combined score equals or falls below the threshold, the market resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter of play, disregarding any points from other quarters. The markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others, though they are all contingent on the same underlying game and quarter. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and influences trader behavior.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second quarter of the Denver Broncos versus San Francisco 49ers game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics as reported by a trusted source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Broncos or 49ers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, large bets from informed traders could cause noticeable price fluctuations in this market.