TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming football game between the Denver Broncos and the San Francisco 49ers. It specifically evaluates performance from the start of the third quarter through the end of regulation time, including any overtime periods if the game extends beyond normal time.
If San Francisco wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denver wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the price difference. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with those found at major sportsbooks, reflecting a shared understanding of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, the Broncos or the 49ers winning the second half. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other's actions, creating a real-time assessment of the game's potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the second half of the game between the Broncos and the 49ers will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Broncos or the 49ers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing or a critical turnover, could shift market sentiment and lead to price adjustments on Kalshi as traders react to the unfolding events.