TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers?

Volume:
$103,636

DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 5:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,692
N/A
N/A
$25,694
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,585
N/A
N/A
$26,007
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,863
N/A
N/A
$6,668
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,671
N/A
N/A
$3,102
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,829
N/A
N/A
$3,731
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,529
N/A
N/A
$1,529
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,438
N/A
N/A
$1,258
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$818
N/A
N/A
$809
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
$616
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$594
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between two teams. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will dominate the other by a specific margin of points within the first 15 minutes of play.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the point differential between the Denver Broncos and the San Francisco 49ers exclusively during the first quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by more than the designated point margin for that particular market. All outcomes are strictly evaluated using points scored within the first quarter only; any scoring occurring in subsequent quarters has no impact on resolution. Each market line represents a different threshold of victory, allowing participants to choose their level of risk and potential return according to how confidently they believe one team will outscore the other in the opening period.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Broncos-49ers 1st quarter spread tracks the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the likelihood of different point spreads in the first quarter of the game. Currently, the total volume traded on this market is $103,636, with $101,827 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the initial matchup between these two teams, and how sentiment is shifting as game day approaches.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Therefore, you may find that this market's implied probabilities diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public perception than traditional betting venues.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Broncos-49ers 1st quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first quarter spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread difference after the first quarter will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data provider, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Broncos or the 49ers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Finally, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies could lead to shifts in sentiment and adjustments in the market price as traders react to the latest information.