TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional football game between the Denver Broncos and the San Francisco 49ers. Currently, Kalshi gives San Francisco a 69.0% probability of winning, while Denver is at 33.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Pro Football game, as reported by the official result of the game itself. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for October 4, 2026, as that is the date this market will resolve based on the final score.
If San Francisco wins the DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denver wins the DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and both markets react to the latest news. It’s a useful comparison for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on their predictions, and their collective actions establish the market’s price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities based on the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Denver Broncos versus San Francisco 49ers game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a Broncos win, a 49ers win—is the winning contract. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a transparent and objective resolution.
Several signals could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Broncos or the 49ers would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game location, or even significant media coverage impacting public perception could also move the market. Unexpected developments in team performance during the lead-up to the game, such as changes in quarterback rankings or defensive improvements, are also potential catalysts. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves.