TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the DEN Broncos will win their game against the LA Chargers by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 73.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final point differential in the DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If DEN wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding DEN markets resolve to Yes; if LA wins by exceeding their specified margin, the corresponding LA markets resolve to Yes. All markets share the same underlying event and game date. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. You may see this market move independently of sportsbook adjustments, especially as new information emerges—like injury reports or changes in team strategy. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to observe convergence between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds closer to the event, but significant differences can still occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the spread, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price dynamically adjusts based on the collective actions of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the game's likely result. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system, incorporating new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Denver Broncos versus LA Chargers game. The market will settle based on the actual margin of victory (or defeat) as reported by official league sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Key player injuries to either the Broncos or Chargers would undoubtedly shift the odds, as would any major changes in coaching strategy. Unexpected weather forecasts—particularly conditions favoring one team’s style of play—could also drive movement. Significant news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also impact trader sentiment. Even public perception, influenced by media coverage and expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.