TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the fourth quarter of an upcoming football game between the Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during the final quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
The market determines the winner of the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) in the DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If Los Angeles Chargers score the most points in the 4th quarter, that market resolves to Yes. If Denver Broncos score the most points in the 4th quarter, that market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the 4th quarter, all team markets resolve to No, and the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) count toward the resolution of these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals willing to put their money behind their predictions. As game day approaches and more information emerges – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – we may see the odds on Kalshi converge or diverge from traditional sportsbooks, depending on how that information is interpreted by bettors and prediction market participants alike. This is a dynamic comparison, continually shifting until the event concludes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the 4th quarter. The price of a contract directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe the Broncos will win the 4th quarter, the price of a 'Broncos win' contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is winning at the end of the 4th quarter of the Broncos vs. Chargers game. The official game results from a trusted sports data source will be used to determine the winning team, and therefore the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries to either the Broncos or the Chargers would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Even late-breaking news about player availability or performance could lead to rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders react to the new information before the game concludes.