TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.8b
24H VOL:
$742,973,284
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,895,743
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,215,342,919
426,856
Markets across
40,308
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,596
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:55 PM EST
Kalshi
The game tracks which team scores more points in the second quarter of the match. The outcome depends solely on the points each team accumulates during that specific quarter.
If Los Angeles C wins the 2nd Quarter of the DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denver wins the 2nd Quarter of the DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to game time. This dynamic can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome – in this case, either the Broncos or the Chargers winning the second quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each team’s success in the second quarter. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game results from the NFL will determine which team won the second quarter. The team with the higher score at the end of the second quarter will be declared the winner, and that outcome will be used to settle this market. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Broncos or the Chargers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, even public polls or expert predictions could sway the market, reflecting broader expectations about the game's outcome.