TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success. Only points scored in the specified quarter are counted toward these outcomes.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each market corresponds to a unique threshold, and the outcome resolves to 'Yes' if the total points scored by both teams in that quarter surpass the respective threshold. The resolution depends solely on the points accumulated during the second quarter of play, with all other quarters and any external factors irrelevant to the determination. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others, and each must be evaluated based on its specific threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from many traders. As the event approaches, prediction market prices tend to become more aligned with sportsbook odds, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing risk assessments and market dynamics. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changing sentiment than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective intelligence of participants, and changes based on supply and demand for contracts predicting different outcomes. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 2nd quarter between the Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers will be used to determine whether the total points scored meet the threshold implied by the market price. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the conclusion of the 2nd quarter. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Broncos or the Chargers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before or during the game could also play a role. Finally, even public sentiment and large bets from influential traders can create short-term fluctuations in the price of this market.