TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:52 PM EST
Kalshi
The final match in this series sees two Dutch league teams competing where a win, loss, or draw will be established purely through regular play without extensions.
If Den Bosch wins the Den Bosch vs Dordrecht professional Eerste Divisie soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Dordrecht wins the Den Bosch vs Dordrecht professional Eerste Divisie soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Den Bosch vs Dordrecht professional Eerste Divisie soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Often, prediction markets can provide a more accurate signal, especially as the event draws closer, as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering different probabilities than those found at conventional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating trading and price discovery. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Den Bosch vs Dordrecht match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Den Bosch or Dordrecht would likely have a significant impact. Any news regarding team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or kickoff time, could also cause volatility. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and lead to price adjustments.