TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
kalshi

What is the result of Delfin vs Mushuc Runa?

Volume:
$1,612,217

Delfin

 - Kalshi

Delfin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 6:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Delfin

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$759,695
N/A
N/A
$201,154
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mushuc Runa

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$448,699
N/A
N/A
$221,581
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403,823
N/A
N/A
$173,510
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Delfin will win their professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game against Mushuc Runa. Currently, Kalshi gives Delfin a 95.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 3.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the match as determined by the official outcome of the Delfin vs Mushuc Runa game, as described in the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 9, 2026, as the final whistle will determine whether Delfin secures the win and resolves this market.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Delfin vs Mushuc Runa professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time, or if the match concludes in a tie for the Tie market. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Delfin vs Mushuc Runa match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome changes over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,612,217, with $1,127,867 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the outcome of the match will land, all reflected in the price movements on Kalshi.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the Delfin vs Mushuc Runa match. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed and express their true beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news influences sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Delfin vs Mushuc Runa match as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their contracts once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could affect the outcome.

Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions impacting the match could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events might indirectly affect the perceived probabilities for the Delfin vs Mushuc Runa match, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations on Kalshi.