TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
A soccer encounter between two teams will determine a winner within the normal game timeframe, or the match could conclude with equal scores. If the match is significantly altered in schedule, outcomes will adjust to a fair price for all possibilities.
The market resolves based on the result of the Delfin vs Manta professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Delfin wins, that market resolves to Yes. If Manta wins, that market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. If a significant disagreement exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and discrepancies don’t necessarily mean one is ‘right’.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Delfin vs Manta match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Delfin vs Manta match as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Delfin or Manta teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Furthermore, unexpected announcements related to the match’s venue or scheduling could introduce volatility. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also influence trading activity and, consequently, the market prices.