TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Delaware will win their college football game against Middle Tennessee by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Delaware winning by over 1.5 points is 55.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the Delaware vs Middle Tennessee game, as defined by the outcome if Middle Tennessee wins by more than 9.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the originally scheduled game on October 13, 2026, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of October 14, 2026.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific point-spread threshold for either Middle Tennessee or Delaware to win by. For any market, if the designated team wins by exceeding its respective point-spread threshold in the Delaware vs Middle Tennessee college football game scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the point-spread condition.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to align with those found at sportsbooks, but subtle differences can emerge. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s odds are driven purely by supply and demand – what bettors are willing to pay. If a significant number of people believe the spread is incorrect, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect sharper, more informed opinions than traditional betting markets, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Delaware vs Middle Tennessee spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, changing sentiment, and overall trading activity. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the spread and capitalizing on discrepancies between their beliefs and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Delaware vs Middle Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing body of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence the Delaware vs Middle Tennessee spread market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could all shift the odds on Kalshi. Public perception of team performance, fueled by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role in driving trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.