TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:14 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for October 18 at 8:00AM ET: If Krefeld Pinguine win, the market will resolve to "Krefeld Pinguine". If Eisbären Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Eisbären Berlin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for October 18 at 8:00AM ET: If Krefeld Pinguine win, the market will resolve to "Krefeld Pinguine". If Eisbären Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Eisbären Berlin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the odds here may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded, as this market is still forming its consensus view. Comparing the two can offer insights into potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the DEL hockey matchup between Krefeld Pinguine and Eisbären Berlin, as reported by official league sources. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it impacts their positions once the event concludes and the information is publicly available. The platform will then process the outcome and distribute funds accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries, unexpected coaching changes, or significant shifts in team performance could all lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. News regarding team morale, strategic adjustments, or even weather conditions (if impacting travel) could also play a role. Major upsets in other related games or broader league trends might also influence traders' perceptions and impact the price of shares. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential market movements.