TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:50 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for October 4 at 10:30AM ET: If Grizzlys Wolfsburg win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlys Wolfsburg". If Adler Mannheim win, the market will resolve to "Adler Mannheim". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for October 4 at 10:30AM ET: If Grizzlys Wolfsburg win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlys Wolfsburg". If Adler Mannheim win, the market will resolve to "Adler Mannheim". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on the collective forecasting of informed traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the market perceives an edge, or where sportsbooks may have mispriced the probabilities of various outcomes in the DEL championship.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular team winning the DEL championship. As more shares are purchased for a specific team, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the current price of a share directly corresponds to the market's estimated probability of that outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the DEL championship series, determining which team is crowned champion. The platform will verify the result against official league standings and game outcomes. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected coaching changes, or shifts in team performance during the playoffs could all cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in early playoff rounds, or the emergence of a clear favorite, would likely drive substantial trading activity. Additionally, any news regarding team morale, financial stability, or external factors affecting player availability could influence trader sentiment and move the odds in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities.