TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for October 18 at 10:30AM ET: If ERC Ingolstadt win, the market will resolve to "ERC Ingolstadt". If Augsburger Panther win, the market will resolve to "Augsburger Panther". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for October 18 at 10:30AM ET: If ERC Ingolstadt win, the market will resolve to "ERC Ingolstadt". If Augsburger Panther win, the market will resolve to "Augsburger Panther". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as assessed by traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market lifecycle. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise among bettors, differing opinions on team strengths, and the influence of news or other external factors. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into market efficiency.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; there's no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a forward-looking assessment of the DEL hockey matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the DEL hockey matchup between ERC Ingolstadt and Augsburger Panther will be used to determine the winning share. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by the DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga). Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is definitively established and verified. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even changes in weather conditions (if applicable to outdoor games), could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations in the DEL hockey matchup.