TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for October 4 at 8:00AM ET: If Eisbären Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Eisbären Berlin". If Nürnberg Ice Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Nürnberg Ice Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming DEL game, scheduled for October 4 at 8:00AM ET: If Eisbären Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Eisbären Berlin". If Nürnberg Ice Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Nürnberg Ice Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating insights from a diverse range of participants. Sportsbooks, on the other hand, set their odds based on models and internal analysis, and may incorporate a profit margin. While both aim to predict the outcome, differences can arise due to varying information sources and the motivations of those placing bets. It's valuable to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the potential results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the championship's potential winner.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results declared by the DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) following the conclusion of the championship series. The team that wins the DEL championship will be considered the winning outcome for this market. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result, based on the official league standings and game outcomes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected coaching changes, or shifts in team performance during the playoffs are all potential catalysts. Major upsets in early playoff rounds, or a dominant performance by a particular team, could also drive substantial price movements. News regarding team morale, strategic adjustments, or even external factors like fan support could influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the market's price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the probabilities evolve.