TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) hockey match between Eisbären Berlin and Straubing Tigers scheduled for March 31, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both possible outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses coherent binary resolution (team name) with explicit edge-case handling absent from Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal resolution flaw. Trade only Polymarket, which resolves to the winning team's name. Monitor the official DEL schedule at penny-del.org for game status updates, postponements, or cancellations.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Resolution logic states: If Straubing Tigers wins, resolve Yes. If Eisbären Berlin wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution value, making the market unable to differentiate winners from losers.Polymarket:
Resolution logic states: If Eisbaeren Berlin wins, resolve to 'Eisbaeren Berlin'. If Straubing Tigers wins, resolve to 'Straubing Tigers'. Includes explicit protocols: postponed games remain open until completion; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootout goals.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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