TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which professional football team DeForest Buckner will join or if he will retire before a specific date. It covers all possible outcomes based on his career status and team affiliations during the specified timeframe.
The market resolves based on DeForest Buckner's official team status before December 1, 2026. If Buckner signs with a specific team before this date, that team's market resolves to Yes. If he officially retires or remains unsigned by the deadline, the "Retires / No Team" market resolves to Yes. Markets also resolve if Buckner remains with his original team at issuance or becomes a free agent and signs with any team, including his previous one. Contract extensions or re-signings with the same team do not trigger early resolution. All transactions must be officially reported by the governing league or announced by Buckner through a source agency to be valid for market resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of various outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds-makers, especially when information isn't widely available or is subject to bias.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding DeForest Buckner’s potential next team.
This market resolves around Dec 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve to the team DeForest Buckner is officially playing for at the start of the 2026 NFL regular season. Any trades or signings occurring before that date will influence the market, but the final determination will be based on his official roster status at the beginning of the season. The outcome will be determined by publicly available information, such as official NFL team announcements.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding DeForest Buckner’s contract status with his current team, potential trade rumors, or announcements from other NFL teams expressing interest would all be major catalysts. Injuries to key players on teams that might pursue him, or significant coaching changes, could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, the NFL draft and free agency periods are likely to generate substantial activity in this market as teams make moves to improve their rosters.