TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Elections
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Defensor vs Cerro
kalshi

What is the result of Defensor vs Cerro?

Volume:
$133,295

Cerro

 - Kalshi

Cerro - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cerro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,629
N/A
N/A
$13,964
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,770
N/A
N/A
$47,747
Settled
No
kalshi

Defensor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,896
N/A
N/A
$19,701
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Defensor and Cerro in Uruguay’s top league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Defensor wins, Cerro wins, or the game ends in a tie based on this regulation time result.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes for the Defensor vs Cerro Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026: Defensor win, Cerro win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific outcome occurs under these conditions. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes,' while the 'Defensor' and 'Cerro' markets resolve to 'No.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following platform guidelines. The event explicitly excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within regular time plus stoppage minutes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Defensor vs Cerro match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $133,295, with $90,243 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of the match, offering insight beyond traditional analysis.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. If significant differences exist, opportunities may emerge for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both venues.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Defensor vs Cerro match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates regarding the match leading up to this date.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics for either Defensor or Cerro would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact trading activity and move the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.