TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:47 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Defensor Sporting and CA Cerro, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Defensor Sporting vs. CA Cerro match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Defensor Sporting and CA Cerro, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Defensor Sporting vs. CA Cerro match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring. It's common to see this market's probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes the value lies.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Defensor Sporting vs. Cerro match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 10, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Defensor Sporting or Cerro would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major announcements related to the match, such as confirmed starting lineups, would also be key catalysts. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential movements in this market.