TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Hungary's top division. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the match after regular time, or if the game will end in a draw.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Debreceni vs Zalaegerszeg professional Hungarian NB I soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Debreceni, Zalaegerszeg, or Tie occurs if the respective team wins or the match ends level within regular time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the match is cancelled or postponed beyond 48 hours, all markets will resolve at a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating factors analysts may overlook. If analysts widely predict a certain outcome, but the market odds suggest otherwise, it could indicate disagreement or the market’s assessment of hidden variables. It is important to note that analyst forecasts are static, while the odds on this market dynamically adjust as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market clears at the best available prices. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that responds to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Hungarian League match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Debreceni vs Zalaegerszeg match, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Debreceni or a win for Zalaegerszeg – is reflected in the final score. The process ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution based on established sporting results.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team management, or unexpected shifts in team form could influence trader sentiment. Additionally, pre-match analysis, weather conditions, and even public betting patterns can all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to the teams or the league itself could also cause the odds to shift, as traders react to the new information and adjust their predictions for the Hungarian League match.