TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
De'Aaron Fox is an NBA player currently with the Sacramento Kings. This event tracks which team he will be playing for on October 21, 2026, including the possibility that he remains with Sacramento, joins another NBA franchise, or retires.
This event resolves based on De'Aaron Fox's NBA team affiliation as of October 21, 2026. Each NBA team outcome resolves to Yes if Fox is playing for that team before the resolution date. If Fox remains on the team he was with upon market issuance, that team's outcome resolves to Yes. The "Retires / No Team" outcome resolves to Yes if Fox officially retires before October 21, 2026, or is not on any NBA team by that date. Exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes based on Fox's status at the resolution deadline.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of De'Aaron Fox's next team.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once De'Aaron Fox’s next team is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the team with whom De'Aaron Fox signs a contract, as officially announced by the NBA or the team itself. Any trades, extensions, or official announcements made before the resolution date will be considered in determining the outcome of this market. The market will close prior to this date, allowing for final adjustments based on available information.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding De'Aaron Fox’s potential trade requests, free agency decisions, or any official statements from his agent or current team would be major catalysts. Team needs and available cap space around the NBA will also play a role, as will reports of interest from specific franchises. Unexpected injuries to key players on potential destination teams could shift probabilities. Any significant developments in these areas are likely to be reflected in the trading activity and price movements within this market.