TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game scheduled for October 23, 2026. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the game will end in a draw based on the official match result.
The event resolves based on the official result of the De Graafschap vs Waalwijk professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for De Graafschap, a win for Waalwijk, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of numerous independent traders. Typically, you’ll find that prediction markets are highly efficient and can provide a more accurate forecast, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value if they diverge significantly from the prediction market price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result of the De Graafschap vs Waalwijk match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the De Graafschap vs Waalwijk match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Also, real-time performance during the match itself – such as early goals or red cards – will cause rapid price adjustments. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Monitoring these signals can help you identify potential trading opportunities.