TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional women's soccer match between two teams competing in the Eredivisie league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers all scenarios where the match could end in a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the de Graafschap vs Alkmaar professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for de Graafschap, a win for Alkmaar, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration, focusing only on the regular time outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer better value, especially if they differ significantly from those on Kalshi. It’s important to compare both to identify potential arbitrage opportunities. Sportsbooks often adjust their odds based on public betting patterns and to manage their risk, while this market is driven by informed speculation and a desire to accurately forecast the outcome of the de Graafschap vs Alkmaar match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the evolving expectations of participants regarding the de Graafschap vs Alkmaar match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the de Graafschap vs Alkmaar match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then verify the result and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 4, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either de Graafschap or Alkmaar would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift sentiment. News regarding weather conditions or referee assignments might also play a role, as these factors can affect the game's dynamics. Any significant public announcements or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances could also trigger trading activity and alter the odds.