TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between DC United and New York RB. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the DC United vs New York RB professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, exceed specified thresholds after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time. The thresholds range from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the goal count. All markets resolve independently according to their respective threshold requirements. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where public and informed opinion diverge regarding the total goals scored in the DC United vs New York RB match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive reflection of expectations surrounding the DC United vs New York RB match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the DC United vs New York RB match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process focuses on establishing the definitive number of goals scored during regulation time plus any added time, as per standard soccer rules. Any disputes will be assessed based on publicly available and authoritative sources to ensure a fair and accurate determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either DC United or New York RB would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is anticipated, could also impact expectations. Additionally, any significant tactical adjustments announced by either team's coach, or updates on team form and recent performance, could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, fueled by social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.