TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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DC United vs New York RB
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What is the result of DC United vs New York RB?

Volume:
$1,264,319

DC United

 - Kalshi

DC United - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 9:38 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

DC United

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$687,224
N/A
N/A
$459,532
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York RB

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412,532
N/A
N/A
$201,149
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164,563
N/A
N/A
$102,061
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether DC United will win its professional MLS soccer game against New York RB. Currently, Kalshi gives DC United a 50.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 26.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the final result of the match itself, as the market will resolve the day after the scheduled game date of October 15, 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the DC United vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If DC United wins the match within this timeframe, the 'DC United' market resolves to Yes. If New York RB wins under the same conditions, the 'New York RB' market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DC United vs New York RB match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the outcome, allowing you to see shifts in sentiment over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $1,101,226, and the total volume traded to date is $1,264,319. This provides insight into how actively traders are participating in this market and the level of interest surrounding the event.

Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the DC United vs New York RB match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources and official league announcements as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either DC United or New York RB would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Major weather events that might affect playing conditions, or even late-breaking news regarding team tactics or starting lineups, could all contribute to movement in this market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move the price.