TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Dota 2 match between two teams, Dawn Bulls and Yellow Submarine, scheduled for October 24, 2026. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. If the match does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time due to postponement, cancellation, or forfeiture, the market resolves based on fair pricing principles.
The market resolves based on the result of the EPL Masters 2026 Dota 2 match between Dawn Bulls and Yellow Submarine, scheduled for October 24, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. If Dawn Bulls wins, the Dawn Bulls market resolves to Yes, and the Yellow Submarine market resolves to No. Conversely, if Yellow Submarine wins, the Yellow Submarine market resolves to Yes, and the Dawn Bulls market resolves to No. Should the match be postponed and fail to commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the outcome is determined by the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their true beliefs. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the two. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or react to unexpected developments than sportsbooks, as they are more sensitive to shifts in public opinion and expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the participants. The current market price indicates the implied probability of each outcome, allowing traders to assess potential value and make informed decisions.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dawn Bulls vs. Yellow Submarine match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in coaching staff for either the Dawn Bulls or the Yellow Submarine could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could also shift the odds. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, leading to fluctuations in volume and price as traders adjust their positions.