TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a college football game between Davidson and St. Thomas, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the match. The resolution depends solely on the official game result, with specific guidelines for postponements and cancellations.
The event determines the winner of the college football game between Davidson and St. Thomas scheduled for October 31, 2026. If St. Thomas wins the game, that specific market resolves to Yes; if Davidson wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced the probability of a particular result. Analyzing these comparisons can offer a broader perspective on the potential result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism. This allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Davidson vs St. Thomas game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Davidson vs St. Thomas game, as reported by a trusted source for sports results. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will not. The platform will verify the final results and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, fueled by media coverage and expert analysis, also plays a role. Significant betting activity from well-informed traders could also indicate a change in expectations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the Davidson vs St. Thomas game has the potential to move the market.