TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:11 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. The markets cover a range of possible score differences, reflecting different levels of Davidson or Presbyterian dominance in the contest.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Davidson vs Presbyterian college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point-spread threshold, with resolution set to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific spread they selected.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely result, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Davidson will win by a certain margin, the price of contracts reflecting that spread will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the actual margin of victory in the Davidson vs Presbyterian game. If the actual spread falls within the range of contracts offered on Kalshi, the corresponding contracts will pay out $100. Contracts outside of that range will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either Davidson or Presbyterian would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift trader sentiment. Even broader factors, such as weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, could play a role. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely be reflected in the price of contracts on Kalshi.