TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Latvian Virsliga league between two teams, Daugavpils and Auda. The result depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends with both teams scoring the same number of goals during this regulation period, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Daugavpils vs Auda professional Latvian Virsliga soccer match scheduled for October 19, 2026, determined strictly after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time, penalty shootouts, or subsequent proceedings. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Daugavpils, a win for Auda, or a tie, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, reflecting the principles of equitable resolution in contingent event markets. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated intellectual property.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action and public perception, while this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely result. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the event's probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, facilitating smooth trading and price discovery for the Latvian football match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Latvian football match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome has been achieved. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding team form, injuries to key players, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact prices. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also influence traders' beliefs. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential price movements.