TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:21h:01m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Dartmouth and Holy Cross, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Dartmouth Big Green and Holy Cross Crusaders, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the result of the women's college basketball game between Dartmouth and Holy Cross scheduled for November 5, 2026. If Holy Cross wins, the market tied to them resolves to Yes; if Dartmouth wins, their market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate factors like expert analysis and team news, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many individual bettors. This market, specifically, may show discrepancies due to differing levels of information available to each group or varying risk assessments. Generally, prediction markets can offer a more accurate forecast, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume, as they benefit from a diverse range of perspectives.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially varying expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price fluctuations. Furthermore, the specific market design and available trading parameters on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket favors Dartmouth Big Green vs. Holy Cross Crusaders (W) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Holy Cross wins at 30.0%, illustrating these differences in market sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Dartmouth vs. Holy Cross game, as reported by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected on both Polymarket and Kalshi once the event concludes and the information is publicly available. The volume traded in this market is currently $2 over the last 24 hours.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any major news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on the day of the game are also a potential catalyst. Increased media coverage or public discussion surrounding the Dartmouth vs. Holy Cross matchup could also drive trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 6, 2026.