TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second map in an esports match between DarkZero Esports and Cloud9, scheduled for October 8, 2026. The result depends solely on which team secures victory on that specific map during the North America League Stage 2 2026 Rainbow Six Siege tournament. It reflects the competitive performance of both teams in that particular segment of play.
The event resolves based on the result of map 2 in the North America League Stage 2 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between DarkZero Esports and Cloud9, scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. If DarkZero Esports wins the map, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Cloud9 wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins—by either team or the map itself—the market resolves to the fair market price. If play commences and a forfeiture occurs afterward, the result follows the official outcome published by the governing league. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome, though it’s important to remember they are based on different methodologies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the fair value. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the actual outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly informative and efficient market for forecasting the result of this esports match.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of Map 2 in the DarkZero Esports versus Cloud9 match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for DarkZero Esports or Cloud9 could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even in-game developments during Map 1, could also play a role. Major upsets or dominant performances by either team could significantly impact the perceived probabilities and, consequently, the market price. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of each team's chances of winning could move this market.