TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first map in an esports match between DarkZero Esports and Cloud9, scheduled for October 8, 2026. The result depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific map during their competitive Rainbow Six Siege league match. Outcomes are determined by official match results, with specific handling for postponements or cancellations.
The event resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the North America League Stage 2 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between DarkZero Esports and Cloud9, scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market is driven by participants willing to bet on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements can be influenced by various factors, including news, team performance, and even overall market sentiment. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 from the DarkZero Esports versus Cloud9 match. The winning team on Map 1 will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders holding a winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission, while those holding a losing contract will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, roster changes, or strategic shifts within either DarkZero Esports or Cloud9 could impact trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early performance within Map 1 itself, could also cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about map bans or specific team compositions could also be catalysts. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning Map 1 has the potential to move this market.