TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Danubio vs Cerro Largo
kalshi

What is the result of Danubio vs Cerro Largo?

Volume:
$66,254

Danubio

 - Kalshi

Danubio - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:28 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Danubio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,462
N/A
N/A
$20,155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cerro Largo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,895
N/A
N/A
$14,537
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,896
N/A
N/A
$11,349
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Uruguay's top division. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Danubio vs Cerro Largo match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers results from regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Danubio vs Cerro Largo match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes changes over time, reflected in the price fluctuations. Currently, the total volume for this market is $66,254, with $66,171 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on shifts in price and volume.

Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the larger number of participants contributing to the prediction market price. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Danubio vs Cerro Largo match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the most up-to-date expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Danubio vs Cerro Largo match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Danubio win, a Cerro Largo win, or a draw – is the officially recorded result, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders will know the outcome shortly after the match concludes.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Danubio or Cerro Largo could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions during the match, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential trading opportunities in this market.