TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Danubio FC vs. Club Nacional de Football
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Danubio FC vs Club Nacional de Football?

Volume:
$135,192

Nacional

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nacional

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,069
N/A
N/A
$35,562
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Nacional de Football

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,087
N/A
N/A
$18,158
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Danubio FC vs. Club Nacional de Football)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Danubio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,250
N/A
N/A
$23,037
Settled
No
polymarket

Danubio FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Danubio FC and Club Nacional de Football scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets exist for Danubio winning, Nacional winning, and the game ending in a draw, all determined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in resolution logic regarding game cancellation. Polymarket resolves win markets to 'No' and draw markets to 'Yes' upon cancellation, while Kalshi resolves all markets to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket's markets will likely be more sensitive to cancellation news, while Kalshi's markets will be less affected.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If Danubio FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
  • Kalshi: If Danubio wins the Danubio vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between Danubio FC and Club Nacional de Football.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Danubio vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Danubio win, Nacional win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either team within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, as reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance risk and profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. Furthermore, the ability to trade positions in prediction markets allows for dynamic adjustments based on new information, something not typically available with fixed-odds betting.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Danubio FC or Club Nacional de Football would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also influence the outcome and, therefore, the market. Furthermore, major tactical announcements or shifts in public sentiment regarding either team's chances could drive trading activity and shift probabilities within this market.