TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Danubio FC and Cerro Largo FC, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Danubio FC vs. Cerro Largo FC match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Danubio FC and Cerro Largo FC, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Danubio FC vs. Cerro Largo FC match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of individuals incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that both sources have their own strengths and weaknesses.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The total volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction surrounding each potential outcome in the Danubio vs. Cerro Largo match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Danubio vs. Cerro Largo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning share(s) in this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could any late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion or analysis from soccer experts could also drive trading activity and cause the odds to fluctuate, reflecting the evolving expectations surrounding the Danubio vs. Cerro Largo match.