TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:03 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Danubio FC and Central Espanol FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Danubio FC vs. Central Espanol FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Danubio FC and Central Espanol FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Danubio FC vs. Central Espanol FC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the probability of each exact score in the Danubio vs Central Espanol match. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a particular score is more or less likely than the sportsbook implies, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities than those found at traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score, and the price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point where buyers and sellers agree. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a specific score is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official score of the Danubio vs Central Espanol match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine which shares pay out 1 USDC each, and which shares expire worthless. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing football league and widely available sports news sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Danubio FC or Central Espanol FC would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact the expected scoreline. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a specific outcome could sway trader sentiment and move the market. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical changes could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.