TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:17 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-10-28 12:35 UTC: if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins the match, this market resolves to "Daniel Merida Aguilar"; if Daniil Medvedev wins, it resolves to "Daniil Medvedev". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-10-28 12:35 UTC: if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins the match, this market resolves to "Daniel Merida Aguilar"; if Daniil Medvedev wins, it resolves to "Daniil Medvedev". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' form. If significant differences exist, it may suggest an opportunity for value betting, where one venue offers more favorable odds than the other based on your assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Merida Aguilar vs Medvedev match as reported by the governing tennis body. Any potential delays in the official result may impact the resolution timeline, but the platform will aim for swift and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand the basis for the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or significant shifts in player form could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a change in sentiment and drive price fluctuations, making it a dynamic market to watch closely.