TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Daniel Dubois vs Fabio Wardley: Method of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Daniel Dubois vs Fabio Wardley?

Volume:
$12,030

Daniel Dubois by KO/TKO/DQ

 - Kalshi

Daniel Dubois by KO/TKO/DQ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 8:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Daniel Dubois by KO/TKO/DQ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,713
N/A
N/A
$3,275
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fabio Wardley by KO/TKO/DQ

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,971
N/A
N/A
$3,710
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Dubois by Decision

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,045
N/A
N/A
$821
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/No Contest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,045
N/A
N/A
$1,045
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabio Wardley by Decision

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks various potential outcomes of a professional boxing match between Daniel Dubois and Fabio Wardley. Bettors can speculate on how the fight might conclude, including knockout, decision, or draw. The outcome depends entirely on the official result declared by boxing authorities.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official result of the Daniel Dubois vs Fabio Wardley boxing match scheduled for October 17, 2026. If the fight begins within 7 days of its original date, all markets resolve according to the final outcome—whether Dubois wins by knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, or decision; Wardley wins by knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, or decision; or the bout ends in a draw or no contest. If the fight is postponed but starts within that 7-day window, markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the fight is cancelled or fails to commence within 7 days of the scheduled date, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Dubois vs Wardley fight tracks the current odds for each possible method of victory, including knockout, technical knockout, decision, and disqualification. You can also view the price history of each outcome, showing how the implied probabilities have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $11,822, and the total volume traded to date, which is $11,996. This allows you to gauge market interest and activity in this particular contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a certain outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, and differences can emerge due to varying information and perspectives.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible method of victory in the Dubois vs Wardley fight. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of the collective forecast. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price levels, giving insight into potential price movements.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, following the official result of the Dubois vs Wardley fight. The outcome will be determined by the method of victory declared by the official sanctioning body. The result will be verified against credible public reporting, confirming the winner and the manner in which the fight concluded. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual events of the bout.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential changes to their strategies could shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, as the fight draws closer, any late-breaking information or rumors could significantly impact the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.