TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the upcoming Featherweight fight between Ilias Bulaid and Erick Visconde on Dana White's Contender Series will go over or under 0.5 rounds. Currently, Polymarket gives a 65.0% probability to the “O/U 0.5 Rounds” outcome. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.ufc.com/events. Keep an eye on the fight itself, scheduled for September 29, 2026, as the outcome will depend on whether the bout concludes before or after the 0.5 round mark.
This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Erick Visconde" if Erick Visconde is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or shifts in public sentiment regarding the Bulaid vs. Visconde fight.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the fight between Ilias Bulaid and Erick Visconde as declared by the event organizers. The market will determine which outcome – a Bulaid win, a Visconde win, or a draw – is the correct one based on the official fight results. Traders will then be settled based on their holdings in the corresponding outcome shares.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting line movements in traditional sportsbooks could also influence the market. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could sway opinions. Finally, any official announcements from the fight promotion regarding the event itself could cause a rapid adjustment in the probabilities reflected in this market.