TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
The fight between Damian Pinas and Andrey Pulyaev will be closely watched for who wins and in which round. Observers are particularly interested in whether either fighter can secure a victory early in the match.
This event covers multiple markets regarding the specific round in which either Damian Pinas or Andrey Pulyaev wins the fight. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified fighter wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in the designated round (Round 1, 2, or 3). A technical decision is treated as a decision and does not count as a win in any round, directing resolution to the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” market instead. The overarching fight outcome determines resolution across all markets, with distinct criteria for each round and winner combination.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Pinas vs. Pulyaev fight. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market operates much like an exchange, with traders acting as both market makers and takers, influencing the price based on their individual views.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pinas vs. Pulyaev fight, specifically which fighter is declared the winner. The platform will look to established sports news outlets and official fight records to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are released and verified.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns reported by sportsbooks might also influence the market. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts and public polls regarding the fighters’ chances could contribute to price movements. A major upset in a similar fight leading up to Oct 4, 2026 could also cause traders to reassess the probabilities, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.