TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Dallas and Seattle, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different threshold values for determining a decisive win. The result is based solely on the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various winning margins in the Dallas versus Seattle MLS soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific goal-differential threshold: Dallas winning by more than 2.5 goals, Dallas winning by more than 1.5 goals, Seattle winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Seattle winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined exclusively by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The governing rules emphasize that the event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets sometimes incorporate information or analysis that sportsbooks haven’t fully accounted for. It’s common to see differences in the implied probabilities, particularly as new information emerges and the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The goal is to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on any mispricing identified by other market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Dallas versus Seattle game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will then pay out to traders who correctly predicted the final spread, based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Dallas or Seattle teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also move the market. Additionally, significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trader behavior and alter the price of contracts. Unexpected developments in team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role.