TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The Dallas versus San Jose MLS game on October 24, 2026, is the focus here, with the event resolving based on whether both teams score at least one goal during regular play, including the 90 minutes and stoppage time but excluding any extra time or penalty shootout phases. The outcome is contingent on the attacking success of Dallas and San Jose within the defined match periods.
If Dallas and San Jose both score a goal in the Dallas vs San Jose MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders. It's important to note that prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those offered by traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their analysis of team form, injuries, and other relevant factors, dynamically shaping the market price. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's probability, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Dallas and San Jose score at least one goal during the match. Official match results will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the final scoreline against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the match. Late injury reports for key attacking players on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a more defensive or attacking style of play, could also impact the market. Even pre-match news regarding team tactics or manager statements could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any in-game events, such as an early goal or a red card, will almost certainly cause rapid adjustments in the price of this market.