TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Dallas and San Jose, focusing specifically on the result after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether Dallas, San Jose, or neither (a tie) will secure the win within regular time. The resolution depends purely on the match's result as it stands at the end of regulation, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves three possible outcomes for the Dallas vs San Jose professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026: a win for Dallas, a win for San Jose, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to one of these outcomes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the MLS, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional polls or analyst predictions, though discrepancies can exist. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges and the event draws closer. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts that represent different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and decreases the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dallas vs San Jose match, as reported by a trusted source for sports results. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the confirmed outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Dallas or San Jose team would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions (if applicable) could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before Oct 25, 2026.